AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Sep 14, 2024

Stevenage

Home
VS
15:00

Burnley

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Stevenage Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Burnley Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.69
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Stevenage Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Stevenage vs Lincoln 0-1
Aug 24 Stevenage vs Brighton 0-0
Aug 24 Stevenage vs Bolton 0-0
Aug 17 Stevenage vs Huddersfi… 2-1
Aug 10 Stevenage vs Shrewsbury 1-0
Apr 27 Stevenage vs Chelsea 2-1
Apr 27 Stevenage vs Chelsea 2-1
Apr 19 Stevenage vs Oxford Un… 1-1
Apr 19 Stevenage vs Oxford Un… 1-1
Apr 13 Stevenage vs Bolton 1-2
Burnley Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Burnley vs Mancheste… 1-1
Sep 07 Burnley vs Bristol C… 2-1
Aug 31 Burnley vs Crewe 1-2
Aug 31 Burnley vs Crewe 1-2
Aug 31 Burnley vs Blackburn 1-1
Aug 31 Burnley vs Crawley T… 0-3
Aug 24 Burnley vs Brentford 3-1
Aug 24 Burnley vs Northampt… 2-2
Aug 24 Burnley vs Sunderland 1-0
Aug 24 Burnley vs Sunderland 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 09, 2024 Stevenage 2 - 1 Burnley Pro League
Apr 09, 2024 Stevenage 2 - 1 Burnley League One
Dec 23, 2023 Burnley 2 - 1 Stevenage Pro League
Dec 23, 2023 Burnley 2 - 1 Stevenage League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stevenage to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stevenage Power 36
Burnley Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.