AI Match Insights

Pro League Feb 03, 2024

Bolton

Home
VS
15:00

Burnley

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Burnley Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.21 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Bolton Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Bolton vs Brighton 4-0
Jan 30 Bolton vs Blackpool 0-0
Jan 27 Bolton vs Cambridge… 0-0
Jan 27 Bolton vs Carlisle 1-4
Jan 23 Bolton vs Chelsea 1-0
Jan 20 Bolton vs Charlton 2-0
Jan 20 Bolton vs Leyton Or… 1-0
Jan 20 Bolton vs Leyton Or… 1-0
Jan 16 Bolton vs Bolton 1-2
Jan 15 Bolton vs Derby 3-2
Burnley Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Burnley vs Mancheste… 3-1
Jan 27 Burnley vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Jan 27 Burnley vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Jan 23 Burnley vs Oxford Un… 0-1
Jan 16 Burnley vs Carlisle 2-1
Jan 13 Burnley vs Bristol C… 2-1
Jan 12 Burnley vs Bolton 1-1
Jan 05 Burnley vs Tottenham 1-0
Jan 01 Burnley vs Wigan 1-1
Jan 01 Burnley vs Wigan 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Burnley struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Bolton Pro League
Feb 08, 2022 Bolton 2 - 1 Burnley Championship
Aug 17, 2021 Burnley 0 - 1 Bolton Championship
Apr 05, 2021 Bolton 1 - 2 Burnley Championship
Sep 12, 2020 Burnley 0 - 1 Bolton Championship
Jul 07, 2020 Bolton 1 - 1 Burnley Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bolton to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bolton Power 39
Burnley Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.