AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Feb 10, 2024

Port Vale

Home
VS
15:00

Stevenage

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Port Vale Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Stevenage Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.17 - 1.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.5
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Port Vale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Port Vale Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Port Vale vs Leyton Or… 0-1
Feb 06 Port Vale vs Leyton Or… 0-1
Feb 03 Port Vale vs Fleetwood… 3-0
Feb 03 Port Vale vs Fleetwood… 3-0
Jan 27 Port Vale vs Portsmout… 0-1
Jan 06 Port Vale vs Charlton 3-3
Jan 01 Port Vale vs Carlisle 2-1
Dec 29 Port Vale vs Blackpool 3-0
Dec 29 Port Vale vs Blackpool 3-0
Dec 26 Port Vale vs Burnley 2-3
Stevenage Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Stevenage vs Reading FC 0-1
Feb 06 Stevenage vs Reading FC 0-1
Feb 03 Stevenage vs Blackpool 1-0
Jan 27 Stevenage vs Wigan 2-3
Jan 27 Stevenage vs Wigan 2-3
Jan 13 Stevenage vs Shrewsbury 0-1
Jan 01 Stevenage vs Portsmout… 2-1
Dec 26 Stevenage vs Northampt… 3-0
Dec 23 Stevenage vs Burnley 2-1
Dec 23 Stevenage vs Burnley 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stevenage in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Port Vale struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Port Vale to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Port Vale Power 28
Stevenage Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.