AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Jan 13, 2024

Grimsby

Home
VS
15:00

Newport County AFC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Grimsby Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Newport County AFC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.48 - 2.06
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Grimsby Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Newport County AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Grimsby Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 01 Grimsby vs Walsall 1-6
Dec 29 Grimsby vs Watford 0-3
Dec 29 Grimsby vs Watford 0-3
Dec 26 Grimsby vs Mansfield… 2-0
Dec 23 Grimsby vs Harrogate 1-2
Dec 16 Grimsby vs Newport C… 1-1
Dec 16 Grimsby vs Newport C… 1-1
Dec 09 Grimsby vs Crewe 2-1
Nov 28 Grimsby vs Milton Ke… 1-1
Nov 28 Grimsby vs Milton Ke… 1-1
Newport County AFC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 01 Newport C… vs Southampt… 1-1
Jan 01 Newport C… vs Tranmere … 4-2
Dec 29 Newport C… vs Crewe 1-1
Dec 29 Newport C… vs Morecambe 5-0
Dec 29 Newport C… vs Crewe 1-1
Dec 26 Newport C… vs Forest Gr… 4-2
Dec 26 Newport C… vs Doncaster 3-0
Dec 23 Newport C… vs Wrexham 2-0
Dec 22 Newport C… vs Stockport 2-1
Dec 16 Newport C… vs Grimsby 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Grimsby struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 16, 2023 Newport County AFC 1 - 1 Grimsby League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Newport County AFC 1 - 1 Grimsby Pro League
Aug 12, 2023 Newport County AFC 3 - 2 Grimsby League Two
Mar 07, 2023 Grimsby 1 - 1 Newport County AFC League Two
Sep 03, 2022 Newport County AFC 0 - 2 Grimsby League Two
May 23, 2022 Newport County AFC 1 - 2 Grimsby National League
Feb 05, 2022 Newport County AFC 1 - 2 Grimsby National League
Oct 30, 2021 Grimsby 0 - 1 Newport County AFC National League
Feb 06, 2021 Newport County AFC 1 - 0 Grimsby League Two
Dec 08, 2020 Grimsby 0 - 2 Newport County AFC League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Grimsby to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Grimsby Power 38
Newport County AFC Power 26
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.