AI Match Insights

Pro League Sep 27, 2024

Charleroi

Home
VS
15:00

Cercle Brugge

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Charleroi Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Cercle Brugge Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.84 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Charleroi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Cercle Brugge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Charleroi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Charleroi vs Anderlecht 0-0
Sep 21 Charleroi vs Anderlecht 0-0
Sep 15 Charleroi vs Beerschot… 3-0
Aug 31 Charleroi vs Mechelen 5-2
Aug 31 Charleroi vs Mechelen 5-2
Aug 25 Charleroi vs Kortrijk 1-0
Aug 16 Charleroi vs St. Gillo… 1-0
Aug 16 Charleroi vs Union Sai… 1-0
Aug 11 Charleroi vs Gent 1-0
Aug 03 Charleroi vs St. Truid… 1-4
Cercle Brugge Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Cercle Br… vs Gent 2-1
Sep 26 Cercle Br… vs Gent 2-1
Sep 22 Cercle Br… vs Mechelen 2-0
Sep 22 Cercle Br… vs Gent 2-4
Sep 22 Cercle Br… vs Mechelen 2-0
Sep 22 Cercle Br… vs Gent 2-4
Sep 14 Cercle Br… vs Gent 2-3
Sep 14 Cercle Br… vs Gent 2-3
Sep 14 Cercle Br… vs Kortrijk 0-3
Sep 01 Cercle Br… vs Cercle Br… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cercle Brugge struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2024 Charleroi 0 - 0 Cercle Brugge Pro League
Mar 09, 2024 Charleroi 0 - 0 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Jan 27, 2024 Charleroi 1 - 4 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Jan 27, 2024 Charleroi 1 - 4 Cercle Brugge Pro League
Sep 16, 2023 Cercle Brugge 4 - 2 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Aug 05, 2023 Cercle Brugge 2 - 0 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Jan 22, 2023 Cercle Brugge 2 - 2 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Jan 15, 2023 Charleroi 2 - 1 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Oct 21, 2022 Cercle Brugge 4 - 1 Charleroi Jupiler Pro Le…
Aug 26, 2022 Charleroi 1 - 3 Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Charleroi to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Charleroi Power 0
Cercle Brugge Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.