AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Sep 28, 2025

Fluminense

Home
VS
19:00

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Fluminense Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Botafogo Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.95 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Fluminense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Fluminense vs Lanús 1-1
Sep 23 Fluminense vs Internaci… 2-1
Sep 20 Fluminense vs Vitoria 0-1
Sep 17 Fluminense vs America M… 0-1
Sep 14 Fluminense vs Corinthia… 0-1
Sep 10 Fluminense vs Bahia 2-0
Sep 03 Fluminense vs Botafogo 1-1
Aug 31 Fluminense vs Santos 0-0
Aug 28 Fluminense vs Bahia 1-0
Aug 27 Fluminense vs Atlético … 2-1
Botafogo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Botafogo vs CRB 3-2
Sep 24 Botafogo vs Gremio 1-1
Sep 23 Botafogo vs Atlético … 6-0
Sep 20 Botafogo vs Atletico-… 1-0
Sep 18 Botafogo vs Operário-… 1-1
Sep 17 Botafogo vs Mirassol 3-3
Sep 16 Botafogo vs Remo 3-3
Sep 14 Botafogo vs Athletic … 2-0
Sep 14 Botafogo vs São Paulo… 1-0
Sep 12 Botafogo vs Vasco DA … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fluminense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 03, 2025 Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense Brasileiro U17
Apr 27, 2025 Botafogo 2 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Feb 09, 2025 Botafogo 4 - 1 Fluminense Paraibano
Jan 30, 2025 Botafogo 2 - 1 Fluminense Carioca - 1
Sep 21, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 1 Botafogo Serie A
Jun 11, 2024 Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Mar 03, 2024 Fluminense 2 - 4 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Jan 31, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 0 Botafogo Paraibano
Oct 08, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 20, 2023 Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fluminense Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Fluminense Position

-3

Position Gap

5

Botafogo Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.