AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Aug 18, 2025

Mirassol

Home
VS
23:00

Cruzeiro

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Mirassol Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cruzeiro Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.53
Key Insights
Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mirassol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Cruzeiro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (44%) 0-1 (23%) 1-0 (13%) 1-1 (7%) 0-2 (6%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 95%
Mirassol Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Mirassol vs Flamengo 2-1
Aug 02 Mirassol vs Vasco DA … 3-2
Jul 26 Mirassol vs Vitoria 1-1
Jul 23 Mirassol vs Ceará 0-2
Jul 19 Mirassol vs Santos 3-0
Jul 16 Mirassol vs Palmeiras 1-1
Jun 01 Mirassol vs Sport Rec… 1-0
May 24 Mirassol vs São Paulo… 0-2
May 18 Mirassol vs Internaci… 1-1
May 10 Mirassol vs Corinthia… 2-1
Cruzeiro Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Cruzeiro vs RB Bragan… 2-0
Aug 10 Cruzeiro vs Santos 1-2
Aug 10 Cruzeiro vs RB Bragan… 0-0
Aug 08 Cruzeiro vs CRB 0-2
Aug 03 Cruzeiro vs Botafogo 0-2
Jul 30 Cruzeiro vs CRB 0-0
Jul 27 Cruzeiro vs Ceará 1-2
Jul 23 Cruzeiro vs Corinthia… 0-0
Jul 20 Cruzeiro vs Juventude 4-0
Jul 17 Cruzeiro vs Fluminense 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mirassol in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Cruzeiro in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2025 Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Mirassol Serie A
Final Verdict

MASTER: Mirassol to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Mirassol Power 0
Cruzeiro Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Mirassol Position

+17

Position Gap

20

Cruzeiro Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.