AI Match Insights
Serie A Jul 13, 2025
Fortaleza
HomeVS
23:30
Ceará
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Fortaleza Win
Draw
Ceará Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.29 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortaleza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Ceará Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
Fortaleza Form 0.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10 | Fortaleza vs Bahia | 2-1 |
| Jul 09 | Fortaleza vs São Paulo… | 1-2 |
| Jul 01 | Fortaleza vs Internaci… | 3-0 |
| Jun 25 | Fortaleza vs Remo | 0-2 |
| Jun 18 | Fortaleza vs Vasco U17 | 1-0 |
| Jun 12 | Fortaleza vs Santos | 2-3 |
| Jun 11 | Fortaleza vs Bahia | 3-0 |
| Jun 04 | Fortaleza vs Atlético … | 3-1 |
| Jun 01 | Fortaleza vs Flamengo | 5-0 |
| May 28 | Fortaleza vs America M… | 1-1 |
Ceará Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 04 | Ceará vs Botafogo | 3-2 |
| Jun 01 | Ceará vs Atletico-… | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Ceará vs Palmeiras | 3-0 |
| May 17 | Ceará vs Sport Rec… | 2-0 |
| May 12 | Ceará vs Santos | 0-0 |
| May 03 | Ceará vs Vitoria | 1-0 |
| Apr 30 | Ceará vs Palmeiras | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Ceará vs São Paulo… | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | Ceará vs Bahia | 1-0 |
| Apr 16 | Ceará vs Vasco DA … | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Fortaleza struggling (5L in last 5) Home
- Ceará struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ceará | 1 - 1 | Fortaleza | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0 - 1 | Ceará | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Fortaleza | 1 - 2 | Ceará | Cearense - 1 |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Ceará | 1 - 1 | Fortaleza | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0 - 0 | Ceará | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0 - 1 | Ceará | Copa do Nordes… |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3 - 3 | Ceará | Cearense - 1 |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Ceará | 2 - 2 | Fortaleza | Cearense - 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Fortaleza to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Fortaleza Power
0
Ceará Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.