AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Apr 27, 2025

Santos

Home
VS
23:30

RB Bragantino

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Santos Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
RB Bragantino Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.79 - 0.92
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.9
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
RB Bragantino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Santos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Santos vs São Paulo… 2-1
Apr 17 Santos vs Atletico-… 2-0
Apr 13 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
Apr 06 Santos vs Bahia 2-2
Apr 03 Santos vs RB Bragan… 4-1
Mar 30 Santos vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Mar 30 Santos vs Remo 2-0
Mar 20 Santos vs Moto Club… 1-1
Mar 16 Santos vs Fluminense 3-2
Mar 09 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
RB Bragantino Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 RB Bragan… vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Apr 16 RB Bragan… vs Sport Rec… 0-1
Apr 12 RB Bragan… vs Botafogo 1-0
Apr 06 RB Bragan… vs Fluminense 2-1
Apr 06 RB Bragan… vs Águia de … 2-2
Apr 03 RB Bragan… vs Santos 4-1
Mar 31 RB Bragan… vs Ceará 2-2
Mar 29 RB Bragan… vs Águia de … 0-0
Mar 12 RB Bragan… vs São José 1-1
Mar 02 RB Bragan… vs Águia de … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • RB Bragantino in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Santos struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 03, 2025 RB Bragantino 4 - 1 Santos Copa Grão Pará
Mar 02, 2025 Santos 2 - 0 RB Bragantino Paulista - A1
Mar 27, 2024 Santos 3 - 1 RB Bragantino Paulista - A1
Mar 03, 2024 RB Bragantino 1 - 0 Santos Paulista - A1
Oct 19, 2023 Santos 1 - 3 RB Bragantino Serie A
May 28, 2023 RB Bragantino 2 - 0 Santos Serie A
Oct 17, 2022 RB Bragantino 0 - 2 Santos Serie A
Jun 19, 2022 Santos 2 - 2 RB Bragantino Serie A
Nov 10, 2021 Santos 2 - 0 RB Bragantino Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santos Power 0
RB Bragantino Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Santos Position

-16

Position Gap

1

RB Bragantino Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.