AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Apr 27, 2025

Flamengo

Home
VS
19:00

Corinthians

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Flamengo Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Corinthians Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.98 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Flamengo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Flamengo Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Apr 17 Flamengo vs Juventude 6-0
Apr 13 Flamengo vs Remo 0-2
Apr 06 Flamengo vs Vitoria 1-2
Mar 30 Flamengo vs Internaci… 1-1
Mar 16 Flamengo vs Fluminense 0-0
Mar 13 Flamengo vs Fluminense 1-2
Mar 08 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Mar 01 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 0-1
Feb 16 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 2-0
Corinthians Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Corinthia… vs Operário-… 2-0
Apr 22 Corinthia… vs Remo 1-0
Apr 19 Corinthia… vs Sport Rec… 2-1
Apr 17 Corinthia… vs Novorizon… 0-0
Apr 16 Corinthia… vs Fluminense 0-2
Apr 12 Corinthia… vs Palmeiras 2-0
Apr 12 Corinthia… vs Chapecoen… 1-2
Apr 05 Corinthia… vs Vila Nova 1-0
Apr 05 Corinthia… vs Vasco DA … 3-0
Mar 30 Corinthia… vs Bahia 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Flamengo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2024 Corinthians 0 - 0 Flamengo Copa do Brasil
Oct 03, 2024 Flamengo 1 - 0 Corinthians Copa do Brasil
Sep 01, 2024 Corinthians 2 - 1 Flamengo Serie A
May 11, 2024 Flamengo 2 - 0 Corinthians Serie A
Oct 08, 2023 Corinthians 1 - 1 Flamengo Serie A
May 21, 2023 Flamengo 1 - 0 Corinthians Serie A
Nov 03, 2022 Flamengo 1 - 2 Corinthians Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Flamengo to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Flamengo Power 0
Corinthians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Flamengo Position

+5

Position Gap

18

Corinthians Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.