AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Apr 12, 2025

Palmeiras

Home
VS
21:30

Corinthians

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Palmeiras Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Corinthians Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.94 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 16 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Palmeiras Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (14%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Palmeiras Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Palmeiras vs Sport Rec… 1-2
Mar 30 Palmeiras vs Botafogo 0-0
Mar 11 Palmeiras vs São Paulo… 1-0
Feb 23 Palmeiras vs Mirassol 2-3
Feb 20 Palmeiras vs Botafogo 3-1
Feb 16 Palmeiras vs São Paulo… 0-0
Feb 09 Palmeiras vs Água Santa 1-1
Jan 25 Palmeiras vs Novorizon… 1-2
Jan 23 Palmeiras vs Santos 1-2
Jan 16 Palmeiras vs Portugues… 2-0
Corinthians Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 Corinthia… vs Vila Nova 1-0
Apr 05 Corinthia… vs Vasco DA … 3-0
Mar 30 Corinthia… vs Bahia 1-1
Mar 24 Corinthia… vs Nacional … 0-0
Mar 22 Corinthia… vs Amazonas 2-1
Mar 16 Corinthia… vs Amazonas 0-0
Mar 11 Corinthia… vs Princesa … 2-2
Mar 09 Corinthia… vs Maringá 1-1
Mar 09 Corinthia… vs Santos 2-1
Feb 27 Corinthia… vs Uberlândia 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Palmeiras in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Corinthians in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 08, 2024 Corinthians 1 - 2 Palmeiras Brasileiro Wom…
Sep 01, 2024 Palmeiras 1 - 3 Corinthians Brasileiro Wom…
Jun 09, 2024 Palmeiras 0 - 1 Corinthians Brasileiro Wom…
Final Verdict

MASTER: Palmeiras to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Palmeiras Power 0
Corinthians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Palmeiras Position

+16

Position Gap

18

Corinthians Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.