AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Oct 05, 2025

Feyenoord

Home
VS
12:30

Utrecht

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Feyenoord Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Utrecht Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.83 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.3 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Feyenoord Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Utrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%) 1-0 (28%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Feyenoord Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Feyenoord vs Aston Vil… 0-2
Sep 28 Feyenoord vs Groningen 0-1
Sep 24 Feyenoord vs SC Braga 1-0
Sep 21 Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar 3-3
Sep 17 Feyenoord vs Fortuna S… 2-0
Sep 13 Feyenoord vs Heerenveen 1-0
Aug 31 Feyenoord vs Sparta Ro… 0-4
Aug 16 Feyenoord vs Excelsior 1-2
Aug 12 Feyenoord vs Fenerbahce 5-2
Aug 09 Feyenoord vs NAC Breda 2-0
Utrecht Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Utrecht vs Brann 1-0
Sep 28 Utrecht vs Heerenveen 2-2
Sep 25 Utrecht vs Lyon 0-1
Sep 20 Utrecht vs Fortuna S… 1-0
Sep 14 Utrecht vs Groningen 0-1
Aug 31 Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle 0-2
Aug 28 Utrecht vs Zrinjski 0-0
Aug 24 Utrecht vs Excelsior 4-1
Aug 21 Utrecht vs Zrinjski 0-2
Aug 17 Utrecht vs Sparta Ro… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Utrecht struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2025 Feyenoord 1 - 2 Utrecht Eredivisie
Oct 27, 2024 Utrecht 0 - 2 Feyenoord Pro League
Mar 31, 2024 Feyenoord 4 - 2 Utrecht Pro League
Dec 20, 2023 Feyenoord 2 - 1 Utrecht KNVB Beker
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Feyenoord to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Feyenoord Power 0
Utrecht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Feyenoord Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Utrecht Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.