AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Aug 24, 2025

Heerenveen

Home
VS
10:15

FC Twente

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Heerenveen Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
FC Twente Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.10 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Heerenveen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
FC Twente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Heerenveen Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Heerenveen vs Groningen 2-1
Aug 09 Heerenveen vs FC Volend… 1-1
May 22 Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar 4-1
May 18 Heerenveen vs Feyenoord 2-0
May 14 Heerenveen vs GO Ahead … 1-0
May 10 Heerenveen vs Waalwijk 3-1
Apr 27 Heerenveen vs Nijmegen 1-0
Apr 19 Heerenveen vs Almere Ci… 2-1
Apr 12 Heerenveen vs Sparta Ro… 3-1
Apr 04 Heerenveen vs Willem II 3-1
FC Twente Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 FC Twente vs PSV Eindh… 0-2
Aug 10 FC Twente vs PEC Zwolle 1-0
May 25 FC Twente vs AZ Alkmaar 3-2
May 22 FC Twente vs Nijmegen 3-2
May 18 FC Twente vs Ajax 2-0
May 14 FC Twente vs AZ Alkmaar 2-3
May 11 FC Twente vs Utrecht 2-0
May 04 FC Twente vs Sparta Ro… 0-2
Apr 24 FC Twente vs PSV Eindh… 1-3
Apr 13 FC Twente vs Zwolle 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heerenveen struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FC Twente struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 09, 2025 Heerenveen 3 - 3 FC Twente Eredivisie
Sep 17, 2024 FC Twente 2 - 0 Heerenveen Pro League
Apr 03, 2024 Heerenveen 3 - 3 FC Twente Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Heerenveen Power 0
FC Twente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Heerenveen Position

-3

Position Gap

7

FC Twente Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.