AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Aug 23, 2025

PSV Eindhoven

Home
VS
16:45

Groningen

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
PSV Eindhoven Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Groningen Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 3%
xG: 4.50 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
PSV Eindhoven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Groningen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
PSV Eindhoven Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 PSV Eindh… vs FC Twente 0-2
Aug 09 PSV Eindh… vs Sparta Ro… 6-1
Aug 03 PSV Eindh… vs GO Ahead … 2-1
May 18 PSV Eindh… vs Sparta Ro… 1-3
May 14 PSV Eindh… vs Heracles 4-1
May 11 PSV Eindh… vs Feyenoord 2-3
May 09 PSV Eindh… vs Roda 0-1
May 03 PSV Eindh… vs Fortuna S… 4-1
May 02 PSV Eindh… vs Jong AZ 2-4
Apr 28 PSV Eindh… vs Jong PSV 0-2
Groningen Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Groningen vs Heerenveen 2-1
Aug 10 Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar 4-1
Jul 19 Groningen vs Nijmegen 1-2
May 18 Groningen vs Zwolle 2-0
May 14 Groningen vs Ajax 2-2
May 11 Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar 3-0
May 03 Groningen vs Waalwijk 6-1
Apr 23 Groningen vs Heracles 4-1
Apr 13 Groningen vs Utrecht 3-1
Apr 05 Groningen vs PSV Eindh… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • PSV Eindhoven in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Groningen struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 05, 2025 Groningen 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie
Nov 23, 2024 PSV Eindhoven 5 - 0 Groningen Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: PSV Eindhoven to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PSV Eindhoven Power 0
Groningen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

PSV Eindhoven Position

+7

Position Gap

8

Groningen Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.