AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Sep 26, 2024

Espanyol

Home
VS
15:00

Villarreal

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Espanyol Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Villarreal Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.65 - 1.03
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Espanyol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Villarreal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Espanyol Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Espanyol vs Real Madr… 4-1
Sep 14 Espanyol vs Alavés 3-2
Sep 14 Espanyol vs Alavés 3-2
Aug 31 Espanyol vs Valencia 2-1
Aug 31 Espanyol vs Rayo Vall… 2-1
Aug 28 Espanyol vs Real Madr… 0-0
Aug 24 Espanyol vs Real Soci… 0-1
Aug 19 Espanyol vs Valladolid 1-0
Jul 27 Espanyol vs Girona 0-0
Jun 23 Espanyol vs Oviedo 2-0
Villarreal Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Villarreal vs FC Barcel… 1-5
Sep 14 Villarreal vs Mallorca 1-2
Sep 14 Villarreal vs Mallorca 1-2
Aug 31 Villarreal vs Valencia 1-1
Aug 26 Villarreal vs Celta 4-3
Aug 23 Villarreal vs Sevilla FC 1-2
Aug 19 Villarreal vs Real Madr… 2-2
Aug 06 Villarreal vs Borussia … 2-2
Jun 15 Villarreal vs Atlético … 1-0
Jun 09 Villarreal vs Sporting … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Espanyol in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Villarreal in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 20, 2024 Espanyol 2 - 1 Villarreal Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Espanyol to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Espanyol Power 35
Villarreal Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.