AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Oct 26, 2024

Real Madrid

Home
VS
15:00

FC Barcelona

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Real Madrid Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Barcelona Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.03 - 1.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.7
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Real Madrid Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Real Madr… vs Levante 3-1
Oct 19 Real Madr… vs Celta de … 1-2
Oct 19 Real Madr… vs Celta 1-2
Oct 06 Real Madr… vs Real Soci… 1-1
Oct 05 Real Madr… vs Villarreal 2-0
Oct 05 Real Madr… vs Villarreal 2-0
Sep 29 Real Madr… vs Real Madr… 1-1
Sep 29 Real Madr… vs Atlético … 1-1
Sep 26 Real Madr… vs Celta 0-1
Sep 24 Real Madr… vs Alavés 3-2
FC Barcelona Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 FC Barcel… vs Emelec 2-1
Oct 20 FC Barcel… vs Sevilla FC 5-1
Oct 06 FC Barcel… vs Alavés 0-3
Oct 06 FC Barcel… vs Alavés 0-3
Sep 29 FC Barcel… vs Libertad … 0-0
Sep 28 FC Barcel… vs Osasuna 4-2
Sep 28 FC Barcel… vs Osasuna 4-2
Sep 25 FC Barcel… vs Getafe 1-0
Sep 22 FC Barcel… vs Villarreal 1-5
Sep 15 FC Barcel… vs Girona 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FC Barcelona in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 21, 2024 Real Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona Pro League
Mar 17, 2024 Real Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona Pro League
Jan 14, 2024 Real Madrid 4 - 1 FC Barcelona Super Cup
Dec 03, 2023 FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid Pro League
Final Verdict

MASTER: Real Madrid to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 2-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 49 vs 0
Real Madrid Power 49
FC Barcelona Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.