AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Jan 21, 2024

Girona

Home
VS
15:00

Sevilla FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Girona Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Sevilla FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.65 - 1.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 2.0
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Girona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Sevilla FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Girona Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Girona vs Rayo Vall… 3-1
Jan 14 Girona vs AlmerĂ­a 0-0
Jan 06 Girona vs Elche 0-2
Jan 03 Girona vs Real Madr… 4-3
Jan 03 Girona vs Atlético … 4-3
Dec 21 Girona vs Real Betis 1-1
Dec 18 Girona vs Alavés 3-0
Dec 10 Girona vs FC Barcel… 2-4
Dec 07 Girona vs Orihuela 2-5
Dec 02 Girona vs Valencia 2-1
Sevilla FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Sevilla FC vs Getafe 1-3
Jan 12 Sevilla FC vs Alavés 2-3
Jan 12 Sevilla FC vs Alavés 2-3
Jan 07 Sevilla FC vs Racing Fe… 1-2
Jan 04 Sevilla FC vs Athletic … 0-2
Jan 04 Sevilla FC vs Ath Bilbao 0-2
Dec 23 Sevilla FC vs Real Madr… 1-0
Dec 19 Sevilla FC vs Granada 0-3
Dec 16 Sevilla FC vs Getafe 0-3
Dec 12 Sevilla FC vs Lens 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Girona in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Sevilla FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 26, 2023 Sevilla FC 1 - 2 Girona La Liga
May 01, 2023 Sevilla FC 0 - 2 Girona La Liga
Jan 14, 2023 Girona 2 - 1 Sevilla FC La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Girona to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Girona Power 28
Sevilla FC Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.