AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Oct 06, 2024

Lyon

Home
VS
15:00

Nantes

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Lyon Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Nantes Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.38 - 1.14
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.1
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lyon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Nantes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Lyon Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Lyon vs Toulouse 1-2
Sep 22 Lyon vs Marseille 2-3
Sep 15 Lyon vs Lens 0-0
Aug 30 Lyon vs Strasbourg 4-3
Aug 24 Lyon vs Monaco 0-2
Aug 24 Lyon vs Monaco 0-2
Aug 18 Lyon vs Rennes FC 3-0
May 25 Lyon vs Paris Saiā€¦ 1-2
May 19 Lyon vs Strasbourg 2-1
May 19 Lyon vs Strasbourg 2-1
Nantes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Nantes vs St Etienne 2-2
Sep 22 Nantes vs Angers 1-1
Sep 22 Nantes vs Angers 1-1
Sep 15 Nantes vs Reims 1-2
Aug 31 Nantes vs Montpelliā€¦ 1-3
Aug 25 Nantes vs Auxerre 2-0
Aug 18 Nantes vs Toulouse 0-0
Aug 07 Nantes vs Lorient 1-1
May 19 Nantes vs Monaco 4-0
May 19 Nantes vs Monaco 4-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 07, 2024 Nantes 1 - 3 Lyon Pro League
Apr 07, 2024 Nantes 1 - 3 Lyon Ligue 1
Dec 20, 2023 Lyon 1 - 0 Nantes Pro League
Dec 20, 2023 Lyon 1 - 0 Nantes Ligue 1
Apr 05, 2023 Nantes 1 - 0 Lyon Coupe de France
Mar 17, 2023 Lyon 1 - 1 Nantes Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2023 Nantes 0 - 0 Lyon Ligue 1
May 14, 2022 Lyon 3 - 2 Nantes Ligue 1
Aug 27, 2021 Nantes 0 - 1 Lyon Ligue 1
Apr 18, 2021 Nantes 1 - 2 Lyon Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lyon to win (58% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 58% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lyon Power 42
Nantes Power 26
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.