AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Dec 20, 2023

Lyon

Home
VS
15:00

Nantes

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Lyon Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Nantes Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.47 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lyon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Nantes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Lyon Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Lyon vs Monaco 0-1
Dec 15 Lyon vs Monaco 0-1
Dec 10 Lyon vs Toulouse 3-0
Dec 06 Lyon vs Marseille 3-0
Dec 02 Lyon vs Lens 3-2
Nov 26 Lyon vs Lille 0-2
Nov 26 Lyon vs Lille 0-2
Nov 05 Lyon vs Metz 1-1
Oct 08 Lyon vs Lorient 3-3
Sep 23 Lyon vs Stade Bre… 1-0
Nantes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Nantes vs Brest 0-2
Dec 09 Nantes vs Paris FC 2-1
Dec 02 Nantes vs Nice 1-0
Dec 02 Nantes vs Nice 1-0
Nov 26 Nantes vs LE Havre … 0-0
Oct 28 Nantes vs Lens 4-0
Sep 23 Nantes vs Lorient 5-3
Sep 01 Nantes vs Marseille 1-1
Aug 02 Nantes vs Lorient 3-1
Jul 23 Nantes vs Angers 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lyon in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 05, 2023 Nantes 1 - 0 Lyon Coupe de France
Mar 17, 2023 Lyon 1 - 1 Nantes Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2023 Nantes 0 - 0 Lyon Ligue 1
May 14, 2022 Lyon 3 - 2 Nantes Ligue 1
Aug 27, 2021 Nantes 0 - 1 Lyon Ligue 1
Apr 18, 2021 Nantes 1 - 2 Lyon Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lyon to win (58% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 58% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lyon Power 42
Nantes Power 26
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.