AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Feb 25, 2024

AZ Alkmaar

Home
VS
15:00

Ajax

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
AZ Alkmaar Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Ajax Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 46%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 3.47 - 3.84
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AZ Alkmaar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Ajax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 1-3 (2%) 3-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
AZ Alkmaar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 17 AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna S… 1-2
Feb 17 AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna S… 1-2
Feb 10 AZ Alkmaar vs Almere Ci… 0-0
Feb 07 AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord 2-0
Feb 04 AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord 0-1
Jan 28 AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen 2-2
Jan 20 AZ Alkmaar vs Zwolle 2-2
Jan 20 AZ Alkmaar vs Zwolle 2-2
Jan 16 AZ Alkmaar vs Quick Boys 3-3
Jan 13 AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente 2-1
Ajax Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Ajax vs Nijmegen 2-2
Feb 11 Ajax vs Heerenveen 3-2
Feb 03 Ajax vs PSV Eindh… 1-1
Jan 27 Ajax vs Heracles 2-4
Jan 21 Ajax vs Waalwijk 4-1
Jan 14 Ajax vs GO Ahead … 2-3
Jan 14 Ajax vs GO Ahead … 2-3
Dec 21 Ajax vs Heracles 3-2
Dec 17 Ajax vs Zwolle 2-2
Dec 09 Ajax vs Sparta Ro… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 08, 2023 Ajax 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
May 06, 2023 Ajax 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Sep 18, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Ajax Eredivisie
May 08, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 Ajax Eredivisie
Mar 03, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 0 - 2 Ajax KNVB Beker
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AZ Alkmaar to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AZ Alkmaar Power 0
Ajax Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.