AI Match Insights
Pro League Sep 28, 2024
Sparta Rotterdam
HomeVS
15:00
Fortuna Sittard
AwayAI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Sparta Rotterdam Win
Draw
Fortuna Sittard Win
Home Win
(65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 48%
Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.52 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
Sparta Rotterdam Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | Sparta Ro… vs Waalwijk | 1-2 |
| Sep 15 | Sparta Ro… vs GO Ahead … | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Sparta Ro… vs Willem II | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Sparta Ro… vs Willem II | 1-2 |
| Aug 25 | Sparta Ro… vs Feyenoord | 1-1 |
| Aug 25 | Sparta Ro… vs Feyenoord | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Sparta Ro… vs FC Twente | 1-1 |
| Aug 11 | Sparta Ro… vs Heracles | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Sparta Ro… vs Heracles | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | Sparta Ro… vs NAC Breda | 2-1 |
Fortuna Sittard Form 0.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… | 1-3 |
| Sep 22 | Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… | 1-3 |
| Sep 18 | Fortuna S… vs Ajax | 5-0 |
| Sep 18 | Fortuna S… vs Ajax | 5-0 |
| Sep 14 | Fortuna S… vs NAC Breda | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Fortuna S… vs Nijmegen | 0-3 |
| Aug 16 | Fortuna S… vs Almere Ci… | 3-0 |
| Aug 16 | Fortuna S… vs Almere Ci… | 3-0 |
| Aug 11 | Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … | 0-2 |
| Aug 11 | Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Sparta Rotterdam in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Fortuna Sittard struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 0 | Fortuna Sittard | Pro League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 0 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 2 | Sparta Rotterdam | Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 2 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 0 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 - 1 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 - 0 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 - 1 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 2 | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sparta Rotterdam to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Sparta Rotterdam Power
0
Fortuna Sittard Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.