AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Sep 21, 2024

Santa Clara

Home
VS
15:00

Estrela da Amadora

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Santa Clara Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Estrela da Amadora Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.24 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Clara Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Estrela da Amadora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Santa Clara Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Santa Cla… vs Benfica 4-1
Aug 31 Santa Cla… vs AVS 2-1
Aug 24 Santa Cla… vs Casa Pia … 0-2
Aug 24 Santa Cla… vs Casa Pia … 0-2
Aug 16 Santa Cla… vs FC Porto 0-2
Aug 16 Santa Cla… vs FC Porto 0-2
Aug 11 Santa Cla… vs Estoril 1-4
Aug 11 Santa Cla… vs Estoril 1-4
Jul 27 Santa Cla… vs Rio Ave FC 1-2
Jul 24 Santa Cla… vs Moreirense 4-2
Estrela da Amadora Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Estrela d… vs Boavista 2-2
Aug 31 Estrela d… vs Casa Pia … 0-1
Aug 24 Estrela d… vs Benfica 1-0
Aug 24 Estrela d… vs Benfica 1-0
Aug 19 Estrela d… vs Famalicao 0-3
Aug 19 Estrela d… vs Famalicao 0-3
Aug 11 Estrela d… vs SC Braga 1-1
Aug 11 Estrela d… vs SC Braga 1-1
Jul 24 Estrela d… vs Estoril 2-1
May 18 Estrela d… vs GIL Vicen… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Clara in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Estrela da Amadora struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Santa Clara to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Clara Power 0
Estrela da Amadora Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.