AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Mar 09, 2024

Rio Ave FC

Home
VS
15:00

SC Braga

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Rio Ave FC Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
SC Braga Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.35 - 1.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.7
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rio Ave FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
SC Braga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Rio Ave FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Rio Ave FC vs Moreirense 0-0
Feb 25 Rio Ave FC vs Sporting … 3-3
Feb 25 Rio Ave FC vs Sp Lisbon 3-3
Feb 16 Rio Ave FC vs Famalicao 2-1
Feb 11 Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia … 1-0
Feb 11 Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia … 1-0
Feb 03 Rio Ave FC vs FC Porto 0-0
Jan 31 Rio Ave FC vs Estoril 1-1
Jan 21 Rio Ave FC vs Chaves 0-0
Jan 14 Rio Ave FC vs Benfica 4-1
SC Braga Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 SC Braga vs Estrela d… 3-0
Mar 02 SC Braga vs Estrela d… 3-0
Feb 26 SC Braga vs Boavista 0-4
Feb 22 SC Braga vs QarabaÄŸ FK 2-3
Feb 18 SC Braga vs Farense 2-1
Feb 17 SC Braga vs Varzim 2-0
Feb 15 SC Braga vs QarabaÄŸ FK 2-4
Feb 11 SC Braga vs Sp Lisbon 5-0
Feb 04 SC Braga vs Moreirense 1-0
Feb 04 SC Braga vs Moreirense 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • SC Braga in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rio Ave FC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rio Ave FC Power 0
SC Braga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.