AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Oct 05, 2024

Udinese

Home
VS
15:00

Lecce

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Udinese Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Lecce Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.53 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Udinese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Lecce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Udinese Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Udinese vs Inter 2-3
Sep 28 Udinese vs Inter 2-3
Sep 25 Udinese vs Alianza 3-1
Sep 22 Udinese vs AS Roma 3-0
Sep 22 Udinese vs AS Roma 3-0
Sep 16 Udinese vs Parma 2-3
Sep 16 Udinese vs Parma 2-3
Sep 01 Udinese vs Como 1-0
Sep 01 Udinese vs Como 1-0
Aug 24 Udinese vs Lazio 2-1
Lecce Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Lecce vs AC Milan 3-0
Sep 27 Lecce vs AC Milan 3-0
Sep 24 Lecce vs Sassuolo 0-2
Sep 21 Lecce vs Parma 2-2
Sep 21 Lecce vs Parma 2-2
Sep 15 Lecce vs Torino 0-0
Sep 15 Lecce vs Torino 0-0
Aug 31 Lecce vs Cagliari 1-0
Aug 24 Lecce vs Inter 2-0
Aug 24 Lecce vs Inter 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Udinese struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Lecce struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 13, 2024 Lecce 0 - 2 Udinese Serie A
May 13, 2024 Lecce 0 - 2 Udinese Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Udinese to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Udinese Power 31
Lecce Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.