AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Aug 17, 2024

Sudtirol

Home
VS
15:00

Monza

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Sudtirol Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Monza Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.21 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.9
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sudtirol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Monza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Sudtirol Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Sudtirol vs Monza 0-0
May 10 Sudtirol vs Palermo 0-1
May 10 Sudtirol vs Palermo 0-1
May 05 Sudtirol vs Pisa 2-2
May 05 Sudtirol vs Pisa 2-2
May 01 Sudtirol vs Ternana 4-3
May 01 Sudtirol vs Ternana 4-3
Apr 27 Sudtirol vs Monza 1-0
Apr 27 Sudtirol vs Monza 1-0
Apr 20 Sudtirol vs Cittadella 0-0
Monza Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Monza vs Napoli 0-0
Aug 09 Monza vs Sudtirol 0-0
Jul 20 Monza vs Palermo 0-1
May 25 Monza vs Juventus 2-0
May 25 Monza vs Juventus 2-0
May 19 Monza vs Frosinone 0-1
May 19 Monza vs Frosinone 0-1
May 13 Monza vs Fiorentina 2-1
May 13 Monza vs Fiorentina 2-1
May 10 Monza vs Lecce 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monza struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 09, 2024 Monza 0 - 0 Sudtirol Coppa Italia
Apr 27, 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Sudtirol Pro League
Apr 27, 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Sudtirol Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sudtirol to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sudtirol Power 35
Monza Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.