AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Dec 14, 2024

Sampdoria

Home
VS
15:00

Spezia

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Sampdoria Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Spezia Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.81 - 1.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Sampdoria Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Sampdoria vs Sassuolo 5-1
Nov 30 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 3-3
Nov 30 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 3-3
Nov 24 Sampdoria vs Palermo 1-1
Nov 24 Sampdoria vs Palermo 1-1
Nov 09 Sampdoria vs Pisa 3-0
Nov 03 Sampdoria vs Brescia 0-1
Oct 30 Sampdoria vs Cittadella 0-0
Oct 27 Sampdoria vs Mantova 1-0
Oct 20 Sampdoria vs Cosenza 3-5
Spezia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Spezia vs Cittadella 5-0
Dec 01 Spezia vs Palermo 2-0
Dec 01 Spezia vs Palermo 2-0
Nov 24 Spezia vs Sudtirol 3-0
Nov 24 Spezia vs Sudtirol 3-0
Nov 10 Spezia vs Juve Stab… 0-3
Nov 02 Spezia vs Monza 1-0
Nov 02 Spezia vs Monza 1-0
Oct 29 Spezia vs Brescia 1-1
Oct 25 Spezia vs Bari 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spezia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Pro League
Apr 22, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Sep 17, 2022 Spezia 2 - 1 Sampdoria Serie A
Jan 23, 2022 Spezia 1 - 0 Sampdoria Serie A
Oct 22, 2021 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sampdoria to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sampdoria Power 32
Spezia Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.