AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Dec 29, 2024

Monza

Home
VS
15:00

Sudtirol

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Monza Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sudtirol Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.38 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Sudtirol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Monza Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 28 Monza vs Parma 2-1
Dec 26 Monza vs Brescia 3-3
Dec 22 Monza vs Juventus 1-2
Dec 21 Monza vs Pisa 1-0
Dec 15 Monza vs Lecce 2-1
Dec 14 Monza vs Reggiana … 0-1
Dec 09 Monza vs Udinese 1-2
Dec 07 Monza vs Salernita… 1-1
Dec 03 Monza vs Bologna 4-0
Nov 30 Monza vs Mantova 0-0
Sudtirol Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Sudtirol vs Cittadella 1-2
Dec 21 Sudtirol vs Bari 0-1
Dec 21 Sudtirol vs Bari 0-1
Dec 14 Sudtirol vs Mantova 2-2
Dec 06 Sudtirol vs Juve Stab… 2-1
Dec 06 Sudtirol vs Juve Stab… 2-1
Nov 30 Sudtirol vs Cremonese 0-4
Nov 24 Sudtirol vs Spezia 3-0
Nov 24 Sudtirol vs Spezia 3-0
Nov 09 Sudtirol vs Sassuolo 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monza struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2024 Sudtirol 2 - 1 Monza Pro League
Aug 09, 2024 Monza 0 - 0 Sudtirol Coppa Italia
Apr 27, 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Sudtirol Pro League
Apr 27, 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Sudtirol Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Monza to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monza Power 43
Sudtirol Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.