AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Feb 05, 2024

AS Roma

Home
VS
15:00

Cagliari

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
AS Roma Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Cagliari Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 2.90 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Roma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Cagliari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
AS Roma Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 AS Roma vs Salernita… 1-2
Jan 20 AS Roma vs Verona 2-1
Jan 16 AS Roma vs Saudi Ara… 2-1
Jan 14 AS Roma vs AC Milan 3-1
Jan 14 AS Roma vs AC Milan 3-1
Jan 10 AS Roma vs Lazio 1-0
Jan 07 AS Roma vs Atalanta 1-1
Jan 07 AS Roma vs Atalanta 1-1
Jan 03 AS Roma vs Cremonese 2-1
Dec 30 AS Roma vs Juventus 1-0
Cagliari Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Cagliari vs Torino 1-2
Jan 26 Cagliari vs Torino 1-2
Jan 21 Cagliari vs Frosinone 3-1
Jan 14 Cagliari vs Bologna 2-1
Jan 06 Cagliari vs Lecce 1-1
Jan 02 Cagliari vs AC Milan 4-1
Dec 30 Cagliari vs Empoli 0-0
Dec 23 Cagliari vs Verona 2-0
Dec 23 Cagliari vs Verona 2-0
Dec 16 Cagliari vs Napoli 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AS Roma struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Cagliari struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 08, 2023 Cagliari 1 - 4 AS Roma Serie A
Jan 16, 2022 AS Roma 1 - 0 Cagliari Serie A
Oct 27, 2021 Cagliari 1 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Apr 25, 2021 Cagliari 3 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Dec 23, 2020 AS Roma 3 - 2 Cagliari Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AS Roma to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AS Roma Power 41
Cagliari Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.