AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Feb 03, 2024

West Brom

Home
VS
15:00

Birmingham

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
West Brom Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Birmingham Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.42 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
West Brom Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
West Brom Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 West Brom vs Bournemou… 1-1
Feb 01 West Brom vs Bournemou… 1-1
Jan 21 West Brom vs Sheffield… 2-2
Jan 20 West Brom vs Norwich C… 2-0
Jan 20 West Brom vs Norwich C… 2-0
Jan 13 West Brom vs Blackburn 4-1
Jan 02 West Brom vs Brighton 0-0
Jan 02 West Brom vs Brighton 0-0
Jan 01 West Brom vs Swansea 1-0
Jan 01 West Brom vs Swansea 1-0
Birmingham Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Birmingham vs Milton Ke… 2-1
Jan 27 Birmingham vs Milton Ke… 2-1
Jan 27 Birmingham vs Leicester 3-0
Jan 20 Birmingham vs Stoke City 1-2
Jan 20 Birmingham vs Forest Gr… 1-1
Jan 20 Birmingham vs Stoke City 1-2
Jan 13 Birmingham vs Swansea 2-2
Jan 13 Birmingham vs Swansea 2-2
Jan 13 Birmingham vs Accringto… 1-2
Jan 01 Birmingham vs Mancheste… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Birmingham struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 06, 2023 Birmingham 3 - 1 West Brom Championship
Feb 10, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 0 West Brom Championship
Sep 14, 2022 West Brom 2 - 3 Birmingham Championship
Apr 03, 2022 Birmingham 1 - 0 West Brom Championship
Oct 15, 2021 West Brom 1 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Jul 31, 2021 Birmingham 0 - 4 West Brom Friendlies Clu…
Jun 20, 2020 West Brom 0 - 0 Birmingham Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: West Brom to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
West Brom Power 30
Birmingham Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.