AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Apr 06, 2024

Leicester

Home
VS
15:00

Birmingham

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Leicester Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Birmingham Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.71 - 1.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Leicester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Leicester Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Leicester vs Norwich C… 3-1
Mar 29 Leicester vs Bristol C… 1-0
Mar 29 Leicester vs Bristol C… 1-0
Mar 09 Leicester vs Hull City 2-2
Mar 05 Leicester vs Sunderland 0-1
Mar 02 Leicester vs QPR 1-2
Mar 02 Leicester vs QPR 1-2
Feb 23 Leicester vs Leeds 3-1
Feb 17 Leicester vs Middlesbr… 1-2
Feb 17 Leicester vs Middlesbr… 1-2
Birmingham Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Birmingham vs Preston 1-0
Apr 01 Birmingham vs Harrogate 5-1
Apr 01 Birmingham vs Harrogate 5-1
Mar 29 Birmingham vs QPR 2-1
Mar 29 Birmingham vs QPR 2-1
Mar 29 Birmingham vs Crewe 0-0
Mar 23 Birmingham vs Morecambe 2-3
Mar 16 Birmingham vs Watford 0-1
Mar 16 Birmingham vs Watford 0-1
Mar 16 Birmingham vs Grimsby 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Birmingham struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2024 Leicester 3 - 0 Birmingham FA Cup
Dec 18, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 3 Leicester Championship
Dec 18, 2023 Birmingham 2 - 3 Leicester Pro League
Aug 26, 2020 Birmingham 0 - 2 Leicester Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Leicester to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Leicester Power 33
Birmingham Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.