AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Apr 23, 2024

Leicester

Home
VS
15:00

Southampton

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Leicester Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Southampton Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.64 - 1.03
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Leicester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Southampton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Leicester Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Leicester vs West Brom 2-1
Apr 20 Leicester vs West Brom 2-1
Apr 12 Leicester vs Plymouth 1-0
Apr 09 Leicester vs Millwall 1-0
Apr 06 Leicester vs Birmingham 2-1
Apr 06 Leicester vs Birmingham 2-1
Apr 01 Leicester vs Norwich C… 3-1
Mar 29 Leicester vs Bristol C… 1-0
Mar 29 Leicester vs Bristol C… 1-0
Mar 09 Leicester vs Hull City 2-2
Southampton Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Southampt… vs Crawley T… 2-2
Apr 20 Southampt… vs Cardiff 2-1
Apr 20 Southampt… vs Crawley T… 2-2
Apr 20 Southampt… vs Cardiff 2-1
Apr 16 Southampt… vs Preston 3-0
Apr 16 Southampt… vs Preston 3-0
Apr 13 Southampt… vs Harrogate 2-2
Apr 13 Southampt… vs Watford 3-2
Apr 13 Southampt… vs Watford 3-2
Apr 13 Southampt… vs Harrogate 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Leicester in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 15, 2023 Southampton 1 - 4 Leicester Championship
Mar 04, 2023 Southampton 1 - 0 Leicester Premier League
Aug 20, 2022 Leicester 1 - 2 Southampton Premier League
May 22, 2022 Leicester 4 - 1 Southampton Premier League
Dec 01, 2021 Southampton 2 - 2 Leicester Premier League
Apr 30, 2021 Southampton 1 - 1 Leicester Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Leicester to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Leicester Power 33
Southampton Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.