AI Match Insights
Pro League Aug 22, 2024
Newport County AFC
HomeVS
15:00
Grimsby
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Newport County AFC Win
Draw
Grimsby Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.22 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Newport County AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Grimsby Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (17%)
1-0 (11%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
Newport County AFC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18 | Newport C… vs Fleetwood… | 2-2 |
| Aug 18 | Newport C… vs Fleetwood… | 2-2 |
| Aug 17 | Newport C… vs Doncaster | 3-1 |
| Aug 10 | Newport C… vs Chelsea | 3-2 |
| Aug 10 | Newport C… vs Tranmere … | 0-0 |
| Jul 20 | Newport C… vs Llandudno | 3-0 |
| Apr 27 | Newport C… vs Brentford | 4-1 |
| Apr 27 | Newport C… vs Forest Gr… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Newport C… vs Forest Gr… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Newport C… vs Brentford | 4-1 |
Grimsby Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | Grimsby vs Chelsea | 3-2 |
| Aug 17 | Grimsby vs Chelsea | 3-2 |
| Aug 10 | Grimsby vs Fleetwood… | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | Grimsby vs Fleetwood… | 1-0 |
| Apr 27 | Grimsby vs Crawley T… | 2-0 |
| Apr 27 | Grimsby vs Crawley T… | 2-0 |
| Apr 20 | Grimsby vs Swindon | 2-0 |
| Apr 20 | Grimsby vs Swindon | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Grimsby vs Mancheste… | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Grimsby vs Mancheste… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Grimsby struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1 - 0 | Newport County AFC | Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5 - 5 | Newport County AFC | Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5 - 5 | Newport County AFC | League Two |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport County AFC | 1 - 1 | Grimsby | Pro League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Newport County AFC | 3 - 2 | Grimsby | League Two |
| May 23, 2022 | Newport County AFC | 1 - 2 | Grimsby | National League |
| Feb 05, 2022 | Newport County AFC | 1 - 2 | Grimsby | National League |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Grimsby | 0 - 1 | Newport County AFC | National League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Newport County AFC to win (40% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1
40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Newport County AFC Power
26
Grimsby Power
38
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.