AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Aug 31, 2024

Birmingham

Home
VS
15:00

Chesterfield

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Birmingham Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Chesterfield Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.07 - 1.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.3
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Birmingham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Chesterfield Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Birmingham Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Birmingham vs Fleetwood… 0-0
Aug 24 Birmingham vs Fleetwood… 0-0
Aug 24 Birmingham vs Leyton Or… 1-2
Aug 17 Birmingham vs Wycombe 2-3
Aug 17 Birmingham vs Morecambe 0-1
Aug 13 Birmingham vs Charlton 0-1
Aug 10 Birmingham vs Reading FC 1-1
Aug 10 Birmingham vs Carlisle 4-1
Aug 03 Birmingham vs West Brom 4-1
May 04 Birmingham vs Norwich C… 1-0
Chesterfield Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Chesterfi… vs Watford 1-1
Aug 24 Chesterfi… vs Watford 1-1
Aug 17 Chesterfi… vs Crewe 0-5
Aug 17 Chesterfi… vs Crewe 0-5
Aug 09 Chesterfi… vs Swindon 1-1
Aug 09 Chesterfi… vs Swindon 1-1
Apr 20 Chesterfi… vs Maidenhead 3-2
Apr 15 Chesterfi… vs Gateshead 2-1
Apr 13 Chesterfi… vs Wealdstone 1-0
Mar 16 Chesterfi… vs Oldham 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Birmingham in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Birmingham to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Birmingham Power 36
Chesterfield Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.