AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Mar 11, 2025

Grimsby

Home
VS
15:00

Newport County AFC

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Grimsby Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Newport County AFC Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.87 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Grimsby Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Newport County AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Grimsby Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Grimsby vs Walsall 1-3
Mar 04 Grimsby vs Tranmere … 1-1
Mar 04 Grimsby vs Tranmere … 1-1
Mar 01 Grimsby vs Chelsea 1-1
Mar 01 Grimsby vs Chelsea 1-1
Feb 22 Grimsby vs Fleetwood… 2-1
Feb 22 Grimsby vs Fleetwood… 2-1
Feb 15 Grimsby vs Doncaster 1-2
Feb 08 Grimsby vs Carlisle 2-1
Feb 01 Grimsby vs Burnley 0-2
Newport County AFC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Newport C… vs Chesterfi… 2-1
Mar 08 Newport C… vs AFC Wimbl… 2-0
Mar 08 Newport C… vs Chesterfi… 2-1
Mar 04 Newport C… vs Birmingham 3-1
Mar 04 Newport C… vs Birmingham 3-1
Mar 04 Newport C… vs Barrow 1-2
Mar 01 Newport C… vs Fleetwood… 2-2
Mar 01 Newport C… vs Doncaster 3-0
Mar 01 Newport C… vs Fleetwood… 2-2
Feb 22 Newport C… vs Chelsea 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newport County AFC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 16, 2024 Newport County AFC 0 - 0 Grimsby League Two
Nov 16, 2024 Newport County AFC 0 - 0 Grimsby Pro League
Aug 22, 2024 Newport County AFC 4 - 1 Grimsby League Two
Aug 22, 2024 Newport County AFC 4 - 1 Grimsby Pro League
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1 - 0 Newport County AFC League Two
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1 - 0 Newport County AFC Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5 - 5 Newport County AFC Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5 - 5 Newport County AFC League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Newport County AFC 1 - 1 Grimsby League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Newport County AFC 1 - 1 Grimsby Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Grimsby to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Grimsby Power 38
Newport County AFC Power 26
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.