AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Sep 27, 2025

Truro City

Home
VS
14:00

Morecambe

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Truro City Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Morecambe Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.72 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Truro City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Morecambe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Truro City Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Truro City vs Crawley T… 1-0
Sep 20 Truro City vs Scunthorpe 4-0
Sep 16 Truro City vs Fulham U21 1-0
Sep 13 Truro City vs Rochdale 0-1
Sep 06 Truro City vs Carlisle 3-0
Sep 03 Truro City vs Aldershot… 2-2
Aug 30 Truro City vs Bolton 3-0
Aug 25 Truro City vs Boreham W… 2-1
Aug 23 Truro City vs Southend 0-1
Aug 19 Truro City vs Tamworth 2-0
Morecambe Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Morecambe vs FC Halifa… 1-2
Sep 20 Morecambe vs Wealdstone 4-3
Sep 13 Morecambe vs Solihull … 4-4
Sep 06 Morecambe vs Boreham W… 3-0
Sep 02 Morecambe vs Forest Gr… 1-3
Aug 30 Morecambe vs Woking 0-2
Aug 25 Morecambe vs Aldershot… 4-0
Aug 23 Morecambe vs Altrincham 2-1
May 03 Morecambe vs Harrogate 1-2
May 03 Morecambe vs Harrogate 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Truro City struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Morecambe struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Truro City to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Truro City Power 26
Morecambe Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

23

Truro City Position

-1

Position Gap

22

Morecambe Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.