AI Match Insights

Carioca - 2 Sep 27, 2025

Bonsucesso

Home
VS
17:45

Duque de Caxias

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Bonsucesso Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Duque de Caxias Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.20
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bonsucesso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Duque de Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (61%) 1-0 (18%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 0-2 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 5%
Over 2.5 Goals 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 99%
Bonsucesso Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Bonsucesso vs Campo Gra… 1-1
Sep 13 Bonsucesso vs São Crist… 0-2
Sep 06 Bonsucesso vs Artsul 0-0
Aug 13 Bonsucesso vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Oct 24 Bonsucesso vs Carapebus 0-2
Duque de Caxias Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Duque de … vs Artsul 1-0
Sep 13 Duque de … vs Serrano RJ 2-1
Sep 06 Duque de … vs Petrópolis 1-0
Aug 13 Duque de … vs Madureira… 0-1
Aug 04 Duque de … vs Paraty 0-1
Jul 30 Duque de … vs Madureira… 0-2
Jul 20 Duque de … vs EC Resende 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Duque de Caxias in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bonsucesso to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bonsucesso Power 0
Duque de Caxias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.