AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Oct 04, 2025

Scunthorpe

Home
VS
16:30

Carlisle

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Scunthorpe Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Carlisle Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 2.71 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Scunthorpe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Carlisle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Scunthorpe Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Scunthorpe vs York 1-3
Sep 27 Scunthorpe vs Southend 0-2
Sep 24 Scunthorpe vs Boreham W… 1-1
Sep 20 Scunthorpe vs Truro City 4-0
Sep 16 Scunthorpe vs Leeds Uni… 1-3
Sep 13 Scunthorpe vs Forest Gr… 1-1
Sep 06 Scunthorpe vs Wealdstone 3-0
Aug 30 Scunthorpe vs Crawley T… 1-1
Aug 25 Scunthorpe vs FC Halifa… 1-1
Aug 23 Scunthorpe vs Southampt… 2-3
Carlisle Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Carlisle vs Hartlepool 3-1
Sep 27 Carlisle vs Rochdale 0-2
Sep 23 Carlisle vs York 5-0
Sep 20 Carlisle vs Altrincham 1-2
Sep 13 Carlisle vs Aldershot… 2-0
Sep 06 Carlisle vs Truro City 3-0
Sep 03 Carlisle vs Crawley T… 0-1
Aug 30 Carlisle vs Southampt… 2-1
Aug 25 Carlisle vs Braintree 5-0
Aug 23 Carlisle vs Wealdstone 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Scunthorpe in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Carlisle in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Scunthorpe Power 44
Carlisle Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Scunthorpe Position

-2

Position Gap

3

Carlisle Position
Home Win Rate: 69%
Away Win Rate: 62%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.