AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Oct 04, 2025

Southend

Home
VS
14:00

Aldershot Town

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Southend Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Aldershot Town Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.03 - 1.12
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.1 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southend Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Aldershot Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Southend Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Southend vs Boreham W… 1-1
Sep 27 Southend vs Scunthorpe 0-2
Sep 24 Southend vs Eastleigh 2-1
Sep 13 Southend vs Bolton 1-1
Sep 06 Southend vs FC Halifa… 3-0
Sep 02 Southend vs Wealdstone 3-2
Aug 30 Southend vs Solihull … 1-2
Aug 25 Southend vs Hartlepool 1-1
Aug 23 Southend vs Truro City 0-1
Aug 20 Southend vs York 0-0
Aldershot Town Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Aldershot… vs Braintree 1-1
Sep 27 Aldershot… vs FC Halifa… 4-2
Sep 24 Aldershot… vs Yeovil To… 1-4
Sep 20 Aldershot… vs Hartlepool 1-0
Sep 13 Aldershot… vs Carlisle 2-0
Sep 06 Aldershot… vs Crawley T… 2-2
Sep 03 Aldershot… vs Truro City 2-2
Aug 30 Aldershot… vs Gateshead 3-3
Aug 25 Aldershot… vs Morecambe 4-0
Aug 23 Aldershot… vs Solihull … 1-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aldershot Town struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: Southend to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Southend Power 42
Aldershot Town Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Southend Position

+10

Position Gap

18

Aldershot Town Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.