AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Oct 04, 2025

Tamworth

Home
VS
14:00

Morecambe

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Tamworth Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Morecambe Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.06 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.3 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tamworth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Morecambe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (10%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Tamworth Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Tamworth vs Altrincham 1-2
Sep 27 Tamworth vs Hartlepool 1-1
Sep 24 Tamworth vs Wealdstone 1-1
Sep 20 Tamworth vs Yeovil To… 1-0
Sep 16 Tamworth vs Everton U… 2-1
Sep 13 Tamworth vs Southampt… 2-3
Sep 09 Tamworth vs York 4-0
Sep 06 Tamworth vs Eastleigh 1-0
Sep 02 Tamworth vs Braintree 1-2
Aug 25 Tamworth vs Crawley T… 1-1
Morecambe Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Morecambe vs Gateshead 2-5
Sep 27 Morecambe vs Truro City 5-0
Sep 24 Morecambe vs FC Halifa… 1-2
Sep 20 Morecambe vs Wealdstone 4-3
Sep 13 Morecambe vs Solihull … 4-4
Sep 06 Morecambe vs Boreham W… 3-0
Sep 02 Morecambe vs Forest Gr… 1-3
Aug 30 Morecambe vs Woking 0-2
Aug 25 Morecambe vs Aldershot… 4-0
Aug 23 Morecambe vs Altrincham 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tamworth in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Morecambe struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: Tamworth to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tamworth Power 30
Morecambe Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Tamworth Position

+9

Position Gap

22

Morecambe Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.