AI Match Insights

National League Oct 04, 2025

Hartlepool

Home
VS
11:30

York

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Hartlepool Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
York Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.70 - 0.39
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hartlepool Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
York Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Hartlepool Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Hartlepool vs Carlisle 3-1
Sep 27 Hartlepool vs Tamworth 1-1
Sep 23 Hartlepool vs Gateshead 0-1
Sep 20 Hartlepool vs Aldershot… 1-0
Sep 13 Hartlepool vs Crawley T… 0-0
Sep 06 Hartlepool vs Forest Gr… 1-0
Sep 03 Hartlepool vs Bolton 1-1
Aug 30 Hartlepool vs Boreham W… 0-0
Aug 25 Hartlepool vs Southend 1-1
Aug 23 Hartlepool vs Woking 3-0
York Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 York vs Scunthorpe 1-3
Sep 27 York vs Forest Gr… 1-1
Sep 23 York vs Carlisle 5-0
Sep 20 York vs Solihull … 0-1
Sep 13 York vs Braintree 2-3
Sep 09 York vs Tamworth 4-0
Sep 06 York vs Yeovil To… 1-3
Aug 25 York vs Woking 1-1
Aug 20 York vs Southend 0-0
Aug 16 York vs Truro City 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: York to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hartlepool Power 36
York Power 52
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Hartlepool Position

-7

Position Gap

2

York Position

Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.