AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Oct 04, 2025

Braintree

Home
VS
14:00

Southampton

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Braintree Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Southampton Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.35 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Braintree Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Southampton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Braintree Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Braintree vs Aldershot… 1-1
Sep 27 Braintree vs Gateshead 1-2
Sep 24 Braintree vs Bolton 2-0
Sep 20 Braintree vs Eastleigh 1-3
Sep 16 Braintree vs Nottingha… 1-0
Sep 13 Braintree vs York 2-3
Sep 06 Braintree vs Rochdale 2-0
Sep 02 Braintree vs Tamworth 1-2
Aug 30 Braintree vs Forest Gr… 0-0
Aug 25 Braintree vs Carlisle 5-0
Southampton Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Southampt… vs Yeovil To… 1-2
Sep 30 Southampt… vs Sheffield… 1-2
Sep 27 Southampt… vs Bolton 1-1
Sep 27 Southampt… vs Middlesbr… 1-1
Sep 23 Southampt… vs Woking 1-1
Sep 23 Southampt… vs Liverpool 2-1
Sep 20 Southampt… vs Crawley T… 1-0
Sep 20 Southampt… vs Hull City 3-1
Sep 16 Southampt… vs Brighton … 1-2
Sep 14 Southampt… vs Portsmout… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

PRO: Braintree to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 78
Braintree Power 27
Southampton Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.