AI Match Insights
League One Sep 20, 2025
Bolton
HomeVS
11:30
Wigan
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
Draw
Wigan Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
CS68+M80 (75.0%)
TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
95%
Market
50%
Combined: 69%
Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Position gap: 17 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Wigan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
Bolton Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | Bolton vs Sunderlan… | 4-0 |
| Sep 13 | Bolton vs Leyton Or… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Bolton vs Plymouth | 2-3 |
| Sep 13 | Bolton vs Southend | 1-1 |
| Sep 06 | Bolton vs AFC Wimbl… | 3-0 |
| Sep 06 | Bolton vs Solihull … | 1-2 |
| Sep 03 | Bolton vs Hartlepool | 1-1 |
| Sep 02 | Bolton vs Barnet | 4-1 |
| Sep 02 | Bolton vs Rotherham… | 1-0 |
| Aug 30 | Bolton vs Blackpool | 1-1 |
Wigan Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | Wigan vs Doncaster | 3-0 |
| Sep 06 | Wigan vs Lincoln | 2-2 |
| Sep 02 | Wigan vs Watford | 0-2 |
| Aug 30 | Wigan vs Stockport | 1-1 |
| Aug 26 | Wigan vs Stockport… | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Wigan vs Rotherham… | 2-2 |
| Aug 19 | Wigan vs Bolton | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Wigan vs Peterboro… | 2-0 |
| Aug 12 | Wigan vs Notts Cou… | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Wigan vs Leyton Or… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2025 | Bolton | 1 - 0 | Wigan | League One |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Bolton | 1 - 1 | Wigan | League One |
| Apr 01, 2025 | Wigan | 0 - 1 | Bolton | League One |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Wigan | 1 - 2 | Bolton | League One |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Bolton | 0 - 2 | Wigan | Pro League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Bolton | 0 - 2 | Wigan | League One |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Wigan | 1 - 1 | Bolton | Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Wigan | 1 - 0 | Bolton | Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Wigan | 1 - 0 | Bolton | League One |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Bolton | 0 - 4 | Wigan | League One |
Final Verdict
ELITE: Bolton to win (93% confidence)
ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0
93% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 17
Bolton Power
39
Wigan Power
33
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Bolton Position+17
Position Gap20
Wigan Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.