AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Aug 09, 2025

Boreham Wood

Home
VS
14:00

Rochdale

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Boreham Wood Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Rochdale Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boreham Wood Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Boreham Wood Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Boreham W… vs Aldershot… 2-0
Apr 20 Boreham W… vs Ebbsfleet… 0-0
Apr 16 Boreham W… vs Rochdale 0-0
Apr 13 Boreham W… vs Aldershot… 0-3
Apr 06 Boreham W… vs Wealdstone 4-0
Mar 16 Boreham W… vs Altrincham 0-1
Mar 12 Boreham W… vs Solihull … 2-0
Mar 09 Boreham W… vs FC Halifa… 2-1
Mar 02 Boreham W… vs Gateshead 1-1
Jan 07 Boreham W… vs York 1-1
Rochdale Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Rochdale vs Southend 3-4
May 05 Rochdale vs Braintree 2-0
Apr 29 Rochdale vs Solihull … 0-1
Apr 26 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 5-1
Apr 21 Rochdale vs AFC Fylde 0-0
Apr 18 Rochdale vs Altrincham 1-2
Apr 12 Rochdale vs Eastleigh 4-0
Mar 29 Rochdale vs Aldershot… 4-0
Mar 25 Rochdale vs York 0-4
Mar 11 Rochdale vs Altrincham 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 16, 2024 Rochdale 0 - 0 Boreham Wood National League
Sep 19, 2023 Boreham Wood 1 - 1 Rochdale National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Boreham Wood Power 43
Rochdale Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Boreham Wood Position

-5

Position Gap

1

Rochdale Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 79%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.