AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 20, 2025

RB Leipzig

Home
VS
16:30

FC Koln

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
RB Leipzig Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
FC Koln Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.93 - 1.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.4 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RB Leipzig Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
FC Koln Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
RB Leipzig Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz… 0-1
Aug 30 RB Leipzig vs FC Heiden… 2-0
Aug 22 RB Leipzig vs Bayern Mu… 6-0
Aug 16 RB Leipzig vs SV Sandha… 2-4
Aug 09 RB Leipzig vs Lens 2-1
May 17 RB Leipzig vs VfB Stutt… 2-3
May 10 RB Leipzig vs Werder Br… 0-0
May 03 RB Leipzig vs Bayern Mu… 3-3
Apr 26 RB Leipzig vs Eintracht… 4-0
Apr 19 RB Leipzig vs Holstein … 1-1
FC Koln Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 FC Koln vs VfL Wolfs… 3-3
Aug 31 FC Koln vs SC Freibu… 4-1
Aug 24 FC Koln vs FSV Mainz… 0-1
Aug 17 FC Koln vs Jahn Rege… 1-2
Aug 09 FC Koln vs Atalanta 4-0
May 18 FC Koln vs FC Kaiser… 4-0
May 09 FC Koln vs FC Nurnbe… 1-2
May 03 FC Koln vs Jahn Rege… 1-1
Apr 27 FC Koln vs Hannover … 1-0
Apr 20 FC Koln vs Preussen … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • RB Leipzig in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FC Koln in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 15, 2024 FC Koln 1 - 5 RB Leipzig Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: RB Leipzig to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RB Leipzig Power 41
FC Koln Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

RB Leipzig Position

+5

Position Gap

10

FC Koln Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.