AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 20, 2025

Hamburger SV

Home
VS
13:30

FC Heidenheim

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Hamburger SV Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
FC Heidenheim Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.96 - 1.90
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamburger SV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
FC Heidenheim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Hamburger SV Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Hamburger… vs Bayern Mu… 5-0
Aug 29 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 0-2
Aug 24 Hamburger… vs Borussia … 0-0
Aug 16 Hamburger… vs Pirmasens 1-2
Aug 09 Hamburger… vs Mallorca 2-0
May 18 Hamburger… vs SpVgg Gre… 3-2
May 10 Hamburger… vs SSV Ulm 1… 6-1
May 10 Hamburger… vs Ulm 6-1
May 03 Hamburger… vs SV Darmst… 0-4
Apr 27 Hamburger… vs Karlsruhe… 1-2
FC Heidenheim Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 FC Heiden… vs Borussia … 0-2
Aug 30 FC Heiden… vs RB Leipzig 2-0
Aug 23 FC Heiden… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-3
Aug 16 FC Heiden… vs Bahlinger… 0-5
Aug 09 FC Heiden… vs Parma 2-1
May 26 FC Heiden… vs SV Elvers… 1-2
May 22 FC Heiden… vs SV Elvers… 2-2
May 17 FC Heiden… vs Werder Br… 1-4
May 10 FC Heiden… vs Union Ber… 0-3
May 02 FC Heiden… vs VfL Bochum 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hamburger SV struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • FC Heidenheim struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: Hamburger SV to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamburger SV Power 29
FC Heidenheim Power 21
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Hamburger SV Position

+5

Position Gap

18

FC Heidenheim Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.