AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 20, 2025

FC Augsburg

Home
VS
13:30

FSV Mainz 05

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
FC Augsburg Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
FSV Mainz 05 Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.45 - 1.77
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Augsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
FSV Mainz 05 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
FC Augsburg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 FC Augsbu… vs FC St. Pa… 2-1
Aug 30 FC Augsbu… vs Bayern Mu… 2-3
Aug 23 FC Augsbu… vs SC Freibu… 1-3
Aug 17 FC Augsbu… vs Hallesche… 0-2
Aug 15 FC Augsbu… vs FC Saarbr… 1-3
Aug 09 FC Augsbu… vs Sunderland 0-1
Aug 08 FC Augsbu… vs Pisa 2-2
May 18 FC Augsbu… vs Fortuna D… 4-2
May 17 FC Augsbu… vs Union Ber… 1-2
May 11 FC Augsbu… vs VfB Stutt… 4-0
FSV Mainz 05 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 FSV Mainz… vs RB Leipzig 0-1
Aug 31 FSV Mainz… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-1
Aug 28 FSV Mainz… vs Rosenborg… 4-1
Aug 24 FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln 0-1
Aug 21 FSV Mainz… vs Rosenborg… 2-1
Aug 18 FSV Mainz… vs Dynamo Dr… 0-1
Aug 09 FSV Mainz… vs Strasbourg 0-0
May 17 FSV Mainz… vs Bayer Lev… 2-2
May 10 FSV Mainz… vs VfL Bochum 1-4
May 04 FSV Mainz… vs Eintracht… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Augsburg in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FSV Mainz 05 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 08, 2025 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2024 FC Augsburg 2 - 3 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Feb 17, 2024 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 0 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Sep 23, 2023 FC Augsburg 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2023 FSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Aug 20, 2022 FC Augsburg 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Apr 06, 2022 FC Augsburg 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Final Verdict

PRO: FC Augsburg to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Augsburg Power 28
FSV Mainz 05 Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

FC Augsburg Position

+5

Position Gap

16

FSV Mainz 05 Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.