AI Match Insights
Copa Gaúcha Sep 20, 2025
Aimoré
HomeVS
18:30
Pelotas FC
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Aimoré Win
Draw
Pelotas FC Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.05 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aimoré Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Pelotas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (18%)
1-0 (12%)
0-0 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
Aimoré Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | Aimoré vs Novo Hamb… | 0-0 |
| Aug 10 | Aimoré vs Novo Hamb… | 3-1 |
| Aug 05 | Aimoré vs Gramadense | 2-0 |
| Jul 31 | Aimoré vs Gramadense | 0-1 |
| Jul 23 | Aimoré vs Gramadense | 1-0 |
| Jul 20 | Aimoré vs União PR | 0-0 |
| Sep 11 | Aimoré vs Internaci… | 1-0 |
| Jun 30 | Aimoré vs Pelotas FC | 2-0 |
| Apr 28 | Aimoré vs Pelotas FC | 2-0 |
Pelotas FC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | Pelotas FC vs São José | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Pelotas FC vs Avenida | 4-1 |
| Feb 23 | Pelotas FC vs Avenida | 2-2 |
| Jun 30 | Pelotas FC vs Aimoré | 2-0 |
| Jun 15 | Pelotas FC vs São Gabri… | 4-1 |
| Jun 09 | Pelotas FC vs São Gabri… | 0-2 |
| Apr 28 | Pelotas FC vs Aimoré | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Aimoré in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2024 | Aimoré | 2 - 0 | Pelotas FC | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Pelotas FC | 2 - 0 | Aimoré | Gaúcho - 2 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Aimoré to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Aimoré Power
0
Pelotas FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.