AI Match Insights

Copa Gaúcha Sep 20, 2025

Aimoré

Home
VS
18:30

Pelotas FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Aimoré Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Pelotas FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.05 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aimoré Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Pelotas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Aimoré Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Aimoré vs Novo Hamb… 0-0
Aug 10 Aimoré vs Novo Hamb… 3-1
Aug 05 Aimoré vs Gramadense 2-0
Jul 31 Aimoré vs Gramadense 0-1
Jul 23 Aimoré vs Gramadense 1-0
Jul 20 Aimoré vs União PR 0-0
Sep 11 Aimoré vs Internaci… 1-0
Jun 30 Aimoré vs Pelotas FC 2-0
Apr 28 Aimoré vs Pelotas FC 2-0
Pelotas FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Pelotas FC vs São José 2-1
Mar 09 Pelotas FC vs Avenida 4-1
Feb 23 Pelotas FC vs Avenida 2-2
Jun 30 Pelotas FC vs Aimoré 2-0
Jun 15 Pelotas FC vs São Gabri… 4-1
Jun 09 Pelotas FC vs São Gabri… 0-2
Apr 28 Pelotas FC vs Aimoré 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aimoré in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 30, 2024 Aimoré 2 - 0 Pelotas FC Gaúcho - 2
Apr 28, 2024 Pelotas FC 2 - 0 Aimoré Gaúcho - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aimoré to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aimoré Power 0
Pelotas FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.