AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraibano 2 Sep 04, 2025

Confiança

Home
VS
18:00

Atlético Alagoinhas

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Confiança Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.58 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Confiança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Atlético Alagoinhas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Confiança Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Confiança vs Serrano RJ 2-3
Aug 30 Confiança vs Retrô FC … 1-0
Aug 28 Confiança vs Spartax 4-2
Aug 25 Confiança vs Guaraní C… 1-0
Aug 23 Confiança vs São Paulo… 0-0
Aug 21 Confiança vs CSA 0-1
Aug 17 Confiança vs Floresta 1-0
Aug 09 Confiança vs Ituano 1-2
Aug 04 Confiança vs Anápolis 2-0
Jul 27 Confiança vs São Berna… 1-1
Atlético Alagoinhas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Atlético … vs Spartax 1-2
Aug 28 Atlético … vs Guarabira 2-3
Aug 24 Atlético … vs Sabugy 0-7
Mar 08 Atlético … vs Vitoria 3-0
Mar 01 Atlético … vs Vitoria 0-4
Feb 22 Atlético … vs Vitoria 0-1
Feb 09 Atlético … vs Figueiren… 0-1
Jan 28 Atlético … vs Barcelona… 1-0
Jan 25 Atlético … vs Jequié 0-0
Mar 10 Atlético … vs Fluminense 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Confiança in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Atlético Alagoinhas struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2024 Confiança 4 - 0 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Jan 21, 2023 Confiança 2 - 1 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Mar 19, 2022 Atlético Alagoinhas 0 - 0 Confiança Sergipano
Feb 08, 2022 Confiança 2 - 2 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Apr 17, 2021 Atlético Alagoinhas 1 - 1 Confiança Sergipano
Feb 20, 2021 Confiança 2 - 1 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Confiança to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Confiança Power 0
Atlético Alagoinhas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.