AI Match Insights
Bundesliga Sep 19, 2025
VfB Stuttgart
HomeVS
18:30
FC St. Pauli
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
VfB Stuttgart Win
Draw
FC St. Pauli Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
Combined: 47%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.84 - 0.76
Key Insights
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC St. Pauli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (20%)
1-0 (17%)
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
Under 2.5 Goals
78%
VfB Stuttgart Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | VfB Stutt… vs Viktoria … | 2-2 |
| Sep 13 | VfB Stutt… vs SC Freibu… | 3-1 |
| Sep 07 | VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | VfB Stutt… vs Andernach… | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … | 1-0 |
| Aug 26 | VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… | 4-4 |
| Aug 24 | VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mü… | 3-0 |
| Aug 23 | VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… | 2-1 |
| Aug 16 | VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… | 1-2 |
| Aug 09 | VfB Stutt… vs Bologna | 0-1 |
FC St. Pauli Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | FC St. Pa… vs FC Augsbu… | 2-1 |
| Aug 29 | FC St. Pa… vs Hamburger… | 0-2 |
| Aug 23 | FC St. Pa… vs Borussia … | 3-3 |
| May 17 | FC St. Pa… vs VfL Bochum | 0-2 |
| May 11 | FC St. Pa… vs Eintracht… | 2-2 |
| May 03 | FC St. Pa… vs VfB Stutt… | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | FC St. Pa… vs Werder Br… | 0-0 |
| Apr 20 | FC St. Pa… vs Bayer Lev… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | FC St. Pa… vs Holstein … | 1-2 |
| Apr 06 | FC St. Pa… vs Borussia … | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 03, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 0 - 1 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Dec 21, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 - 1 | FC St. Pauli | Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 - 1 | FC St. Pauli | Bundesliga |
Final Verdict
PRO: VfB Stuttgart to win (74% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0
74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
VfB Stuttgart Power
46
FC St. Pauli Power
35
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
4
VfB Stuttgart Position+13
Position Gap17
FC St. Pauli Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.