AI Match Insights
League Two Oct 04, 2025
Cambridge United
HomeVS
14:00
Crawley Town
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Cambridge United Win
Draw
Crawley Town Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
95%
Market
50%
Combined: 59%
Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.46 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.4
Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cambridge United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (14%)
1-0 (14%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
Cambridge United Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | Cambridge… vs Tranmere … | 0-0 |
| Sep 23 | Cambridge… vs Fulham | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Cambridge… vs Fleetwood… | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Cambridge… vs Grimsby | 1-1 |
| Sep 06 | Cambridge… vs Oldham | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | Cambridge… vs Newport C… | 2-0 |
| Aug 26 | Cambridge… vs Charlton | 3-1 |
| Aug 23 | Cambridge… vs Bristol R… | 1-0 |
| Aug 19 | Cambridge… vs Mancheste… | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Cambridge… vs Harrogate… | 1-1 |
Crawley Town Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | Crawley T… vs Barrow | 1-2 |
| Sep 23 | Crawley T… vs Truro City | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Crawley T… vs Southampt… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Crawley T… vs Newport C… | 4-0 |
| Sep 16 | Crawley T… vs Mancheste… | 2-1 |
| Sep 16 | Crawley T… vs Aston Vil… | 4-2 |
| Sep 13 | Crawley T… vs Chelsea | 2-0 |
| Sep 13 | Crawley T… vs Hartlepool | 0-0 |
| Sep 06 | Crawley T… vs Harrogate | 0-1 |
| Sep 06 | Crawley T… vs Aldershot… | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Crawley Town in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 01, 2025 | Crawley Town | 0 - 2 | Cambridge United | League One |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Cambridge United | 0 - 1 | Crawley Town | League One |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Cambridge United | 0 - 1 | Crawley Town | Pro League |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Cambridge United | 3 - 1 | Crawley Town | League Two |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Crawley Town | 2 - 1 | Cambridge United | League Two |
Final Verdict
ELITE: Cambridge United to win (93% confidence)
ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0
93% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 17
Cambridge United Power
41
Crawley Town Power
30
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Cambridge United Position+17
Position Gap20
Crawley Town Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.